Sunday, September 23, 2012

The horse won't dance, beat it harder

The media has been trying to maintain all year that there has been this horse race between Romney and Obama. The truth is that the horse simply won't dance, that's because it's dead, and every time that Romney tries to sell the Republican horse liniment the smell gets worse.

The current headline that Obama leads in some battleground states and is tied with Romney in the rest is simply not true. They are now defining 'tied' to mean that Obama doesn't lead by more than the margin of error in the polling. A margin of error number that gets bigger every day. How do you 'legitimately' increase the margin of error number? You simply poll a smaller number of people each time, this is then interpreted mathematically to be less accurate, so you get a bigger margin of error percentage number.

They don't mention that there are dozens of polls being taken using different methods and when to aggregate the results from more and more sources the margin of error approaches zero. You can't include Republican fluff polls in the equation when you do this, or you could prove the world is flat.

Even the right-wing pundits have given up cheering for this horse, and are simply trying to keep the Republican myth alive that they represent anything more than the naked greed of the 0.01%. These days the only sound coming from the Republican stables is the buzzing of flies. 

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

What I find interesting is the recent flips in several closely contested Senatorial races. Two weeks ago it was looking like at worst the Republicans spilt with the Democrats 50-50. In a matter of two weeks, Dems have gone ahead in Wisconsin, Montana, Massachusetts, Indiana, Connecticut and Virginia. In addition, with both Arizona and Nevada races very close, the Democrats could retain control of the Senate with a 55-43 advantage (with two Independents caucusing with the Democrats). Romney is not only toxic to his own campaign, but he is speading it to his party's Senatorial candidates. Now if he only do the same for the House....

Anonymous said...

I found it funny that mittens said his horse is smoother out of the gate and that dancing horse anny spends time on is more of a pounder. Maybe anny likes a horse that pounds her.
I know your blog refers to SHI%&*$'s campaign as having the vibrancy of a dead horse. I just liked hearing that annys horse gives her a pounding. Oh god oh god.......ha ha ha!!!
SHI%*#$ likes Polling ha ha ha...