Saturday, October 10, 2009
No banks failed this week, huh?
In theory the Treasury Dept. gets the money from taxpayers but the Republicans left the government so far in debt and with unfunded infrastructure obligations that is a joke. They just funneled all the money that the government took in to their own pockets. If you voted Republican and you didn't get your share, better complain to the RNC.
So the Treasury Dept. is basically just printing the money. China is not going to lend us any more. They are trying as hard as they can to unload the Dollars they are holding while anybody will still take them.
Surprisingly, printing money to fund the Government isn't always a bad thing. The only trick is convincing people to accept it. If you can do that, it is far better than borrowing money from the fat cats sitting around the pool. Their money isn't "real" either but they expect us to pay them interest on it as if it were.
Even as bad as things are, if Obama's people know what they are doing, they can make this work out. Assuming that he isn't a secret Republican with a fake middle class birth certificate.
Friday, October 9, 2009
Some change we can believe in
Weekly unemployment claims were down slightly for last week but not enough to matter. Canada is touting job growth of 31,000 for last month. We officially lost 256,000 jobs in September but it was really at least half a million.
The Pew Research Center did a study of the news media’s coverage of the Great Recession. They found that the media largely considers it yesterday’s news. Only six percent of coverage about the economy concerns how the average American is suffering from this calamity. They also noted that only four percent of the economic news deals with the mushrooming business crisis that is putting millions out of work.
The bail out has been from the top down and so has been the news coverage.
It’s true the problem came from the top and bulk of the news coverage should be about the indictments, the seizures of assets and the restoration of wealth to the middle class, but it’s not.
A hundred thousand people run out of unemployment benefits each week as the Senate dilly dallies with the details of the benefit extension bill already passed by the House. In the meantime they have passed numerous bills including billions to raise the pay of Congress and its staff.
GM unloaded the Hummer brand today and you could say good riddance except that there is an overseas market for the giant bread box on wheels. That market will go to the Sichuan Tengzhong Heavy Industrial Machinery Company. GM did get a several hundred million Dollars for Hummer but China got rid of a bunch of Dollars that it considers worthless AND they got another factory to crate up and take home.
China is publicly very annoyed with the Obama Administration's actions to raise tariffs on goods that China has been dumping on the US market and Obama’s do nothing attitude toward the falling Dollar. They have not however made any real effort to retaliate and are in fact clamping down on the construction of factories that produce goods for export. Obama has just slapped a 99% tariff on steel pipe made in China. This follows a 39% tariff on cheap tires two weeks ago. It’s not time to start singing Happy Days are Here Again but just maybe this is change we can believe in. Yes we can.
Thursday, October 8, 2009
The canned goods rebellion?
There are so many trillions of Dollars floating around that no single foreign central bank can even consider more than Band-Aid measures. There have been rumors of banks buying Dollars for months but with the Dollar’s slide picking up speed, some banks are being more open about it and hoping to build confidence. (the life boats are very nice and we have plenty of ice) Countries that depend on exports for survival are leading the charge to buy Dollars. Hong Kong who keeps its currency pegged to the USD reportedly bought 5 billion overnight.
Other countries that have NOT been favoring the Dollar are also participating, that’s how bad it is. The Russians who have been converting Dollars to Euros for some time have purchased 1.5 billion Dollars yesterday and on top of 4 billion Dollars in the past week.
China that has upwards of 2.5 trillion in currency reserves with perhaps a trillion or more in dollars has indicated its displeasure with moves by the Federal Reserve that they see as driving the Dollar down. Some Republicans are claiming that Obama is doing this as a secret jobs program as a weaker Dollar in theory improves the sales of exports. Doing this would be extremely dangerous because the Republicans have so wrecked the US economy. Any wild swings in the value of the Dollar would only make things worse and threaten to collapse the Dollar entirely. The Chinese, being no fools have acquired a hundred tons of gold, other Asian countries have bolstered their own gold reserves as well.
After the Revolutionary War in America the shortage of money led to domestic trade being valued in jugs of whiskey. It worked so well that George Washington had to raise an army to end the practice. I’ll give you a can of beans for a haircut, 10 cans for a pod cast subscription.
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
The Pit
Of course they don’t believe anything bad will happen in their part of town. After all if there’s a crisis they just go to the, the, the, errr, ( the Federal Government). They are all self made conservatives. In reality, their boot straps have Uncle Sam’s picture on them.
Some of them probably even have gold. It hasn’t occurred to them that if things get so bad that the Federal Government goes away that there won’t be any place to spend their gold. They seem to think that the world will just go on the way it always has for them. In fact they believe it will be the return of the good old days. They can keep their jobs in financial services and drive their suvs from their gated community to the country club. Real Americans will be in charge again and they won’t have any of those liberal laws restricting how they treat the servants. The "whites only" signs can go back up. There will be no taxes and they’ll all be rich. Prayer will be back in the schools and women will know their place again.
They can’t wait and they don’t have a clue about the pit they are going to fall into. It would be funny if we didn’t have to go down with them. prairie2
Monday, October 5, 2009
The view from the bottom of the open grave
The Republicans who ran up 12 trillion in debt and under funded everything for even more trillions are counting on the Democrats being cowed into not spending any money. It worked with Clinton. So why not just do what Clinton did? Times were great, right? Clinton and Greenspan created a series of bubbles that revolved around massive consumer debt while the manufacturing base was sold to China. That trick simply can’t be repeated. We are at the bottom of an open grave, more digging won't help.
So much money is disappearing from the economy because of the collapse of the debt bubble that without massive government spending we would go into an out of control deflation spiral consuming our entire economy. The Republicans are whining that Obama is spending so much money that 40% of the GDP is now government spending and they complain that state and local governments are cutting back at the same time. The implication is of course that the FEDERAL GOVERNMENT is taking over! But Obama’s spending has been quite modest, most of the "stimulus" went for tax cuts and bank bailouts. Things that the Republicans claim will always fix what ails you.
The reality of course is that the Republicans have effectively destroyed the economy so that the government is the only thing still working. The GDP is shrinking rather than the government growing and if the big box stores weren’t filled with things we get on credit from China, the damage would be much more apparent. When the Walmart is boarded up like the rest of downtown, people will start to catch on.
Greenspan and people he works for did this on purpose. When they started us down this road there were a few heretics that told us exactly how it would turn out. Welcome to the New Plutonomy, the worst is yet to come.